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done with debbie, now following penny

Debbie was a big one. She came down from the monsoonal belt on the 23rd of March in 2017, eventually dissipating off New Zealand two weeks later. They got wet too.

Debbie left a red hot trail, crossing the coast at Airlie Beach and exiting as a low a little down the road from here.

Her lowest reading on the trip was was 949 hectopascales

debbie.png

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Penny is the first of this season.  This is how the Bureau of Meteorology sees her progress down the coast.

The Coral Sea

penny 1

Posted Jan 3

Jan 2 heading – East

Jan 3 heading – East tending South

Jan 4 heading – South

Jan 5 to Jan 10 heading – West by South

Hpc Jan 7 – 998

Innisfail is 543 Km’s from Airlie Beach.

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penny2

Posted Jan 4

The number inside the cyclone icon is its category.

Category 1 is for winds less than 125 km/ph gales.

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penny3

Posted Jan 5

Details of Tropical Cyclone Penny at 4:00 am AEST: (BOM)

Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 85 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 15.9 degrees South, 155.7 degrees East , 610 kilometres east of Willis Island and 1070 kilometres east of Cairns .
Movement: slow moving .

Tropical Cyclone Penny is located well to the east of the Queensland coast and is not expected to impact the coast in the next three days.

Penny is currently a category 1 system, and is likely to weaken further during Saturday.

Penny is expected to remain slow moving today, and then will most likely turn towards the coast on Sunday. It should then continue to weaken as it slowly approaches the coast during the week.

Penny is unlikely to be an intense system when it reaches the coast but there remains a risk that it will produce gales and heavy rainfall in coastal areas during next week.

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penny4

Posted Jan 6

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Penny at 4:00 am AEST:

Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 45 kilometres of 16.1 degrees South, 155.9 degrees East , 630 kilometres east of Willis Island and 1090 kilometres east of Cairns .
Movement: slow moving .

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Penny is located well to the east of the Queensland coast and is expected to start moving westwards towards the coast on Sunday.

It is unlikely to be a strong system when it reaches the coast but will be closely monitored for any possible redevelopment in the next few days.

 

Hazards:

The system is likely to produce heavy rainfall and strong winds over the north Queensland coast as it nears the coast during the week.

penny7

Posted Jan 8

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Penny at 4:00 am AEST:

Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 18.8 degrees South, 151.2 degrees East , 340 kilometres east northeast of Bowen and 470 kilometres east of Townsville .
Movement: west southwest at 14 kilometres per hour .

Ex-tropical cyclone Penny is expected to continue moving westwards towards the Queensland east coast during Tuesday. Based on the current forecast track, Penny is set to move onto the Queensland east coast during late Wednesday, but the scenario of it crossing earlier than this cannot be ruled out. Penny remains a moderate (20%) chance of reforming into a category 1 tropical cyclone as it approaches the Queensland east coast.

One Comment Post a comment
  1. Shane Fisher #

    Or in mythological (meteoritical) terms it could be like a dance.

    If it is a male cyclone, there is no hope, he will take out the speakers, he will then apologise, wander off a bit, take some poor buggers table out by the dance floor. Get ushered by the climate bouncers, then continue on to who knows where, to dissipate and feel sorry for himself.

    If it is a female cyclone, she will dance gracefully, knowing she is being looked at, but will continue on regardless. She will let her power be known, regardless of where she is. Then, uncalled for, she will go back to where she came from, waiting to be called again.

    January 7, 2019

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